Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-4
Castellón vs CD Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1927 |
EUR
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
CAS
2 - 1
EUR
68%
18%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
35%
24%
40%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
EUR
4 - 1
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
LEO
3 - 2
DEP
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
OVI
5 - 3
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
LEO
6 - 1
RUD
85%
10%
6%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RAC
3 - 1
LEO
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
CEL
8 - 0
LEO
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |