Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-5
Castellón vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
SEV
3 - 1
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 0
MLL
47%
23%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
MLL
1 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
OVI
2 - 2
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
SEV
3 - 1
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
SEV
8 - 1
RCM
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
RCM
2 - 0
SEV
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
SEV
4 - 1
SPO
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |