Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-11
Castellón vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
MUR
3 - 2
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
SPO
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
EUR
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEV
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
RSO
2 - 0
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
SEV
3 - 2
RSO
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
RSO
5 - 2
ESP
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
RSO
0 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
RAC
2 - 1
RSO
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |