Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Castellón vs Logroño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 1
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 1
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
SEV
3 - 1
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
CAS
3 - 0
MLL
47%
23%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
MLL
1 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Logroño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1931 |
LOG
4 - 0
VAD
44%
23%
34%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
VAD
0 - 0
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 8
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
LOG
7 - 0
LEO
57%
20%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
LOG
6 - 0
AUR
83%
10%
6%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |