Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-3
Castellón vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ATM
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BAD
4 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
CAS
5 - 1
JUP
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
21%
23%
55%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ATM
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ARE
2 - 1
ATM
53%
19%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 4
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |