Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-3
Castellón vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
BAD
4 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
CAS
5 - 1
JUP
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
21%
23%
55%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
CAS
5 - 1
BAD
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
JUP
1 - 1
CAS
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ARE
2 - 1
ATM
53%
19%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 4
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAC
69%
15%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |