UCIDCE Sub 19 vs Fundación Lucena FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+648%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
14º
22
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 66 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 63 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 50 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 42 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
81.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCIDCE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 1
SÉN
21%
20%
58%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
XER
3 - 0
UCD
80%
12%
8%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 3
MOS
27%
21%
52%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
COR
5 - 0
UCD
63%
18%
19%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 4
SEV
13%
18%
69%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fundación Lucena FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FUN
5 - 2
XER
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 1
FUN
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FUN
0 - 4
COR
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SEV
2 - 2
FUN
82%
12%
7%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FUN
1 - 1
SRL
29%
21%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |