Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
CD Los Boliches vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Los Boliches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
REC
4 - 1
CDB
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
EST
0 - 0
CDB
63%
23%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDB
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
1 - 1
MEL
34%
34%
32%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
RJA
2 - 0
UDM
89%
9%
2%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
MOT
2 - 1
RJA
17%
27%
56%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
RJA
2 - 2
UBE
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDB
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
0 - 4
RJA
21%
27%
52%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |