Ciudad De Bolívar vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
1º
12
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIB
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
DCM
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CIB
2 - 1
CSE
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
CIB
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CIB
2 - 1
HHE
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
VIL
18%
29%
53%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
0 - 0
OLI
13%
24%
63%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CSS
3 - 2
KIM
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
KIM
0 - 0
GER
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
KIM
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |