Ciudad De Bolívar vs Gutiérrez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
2º
35
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
CIB
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 1
CDA
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 1
SOL
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
CIB
23%
27%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 2
ATE
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GUT
3 - 1
DDF
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUT
4 - 0
AGA
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AGA
2 - 1
GUT
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
GUT
4 - 1
FAD
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FAD
0 - 1
GUT
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |