Ciudad De Bolívar vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
37
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
CIB
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 0
HHE
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
CIB
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 1
JUU
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 3
CIB
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
CDA
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
ATE
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HHE
2 - 1
FER
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |