Ciudad De Bolívar vs Sportivo Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
35
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 0
FER
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
CIB
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 0
HHE
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
CIB
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 1
JUU
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 1
CSE
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ATE
2 - 2
CSE
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 1
HHE
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SMA
3 - 1
CSE
26%
28%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |