Cienciano vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
CIE
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 0
UNI
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 3
CIE
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALF
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 2
CIE
27%
28%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
AUN
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
WIL
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 3
LOS
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
SRP
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
WIL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |