Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
CIE
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 0
AUN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 0
AGP
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 2
CIE
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 1
UTC
39%
28%
32%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 2
AUN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 6
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |