Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
4 - 2
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 0
SAN
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
UTC
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
UTC
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 1
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |