Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
CIE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 3
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 1
CIE
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 4
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
LEO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
UTC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |