Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
CIE
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
CIE
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
SBO
1 - 0
CIE
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
4 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
2 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
50%
28%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 1
UNI
42%
29%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 2
UNI
52%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |