Cienciano vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 1
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CIE
4 - 2
SFC
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 4
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CIE
4 - 0
AGP
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
CIE
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 1
AYA
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 0
AYA
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 2
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |