Cienciano vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 2
CIE
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
CIE
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 1
HUA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |