Cienciano vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
CIE
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
MEL
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
CIE
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
CIE
45%
24%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
LOS
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 2
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |