Cienciano vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 2
CIE
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
LEO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
CIE
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
GAL
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
UNI
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
3 - 3
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
AYA
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |