Cienciano vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
CIE
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 3
LEO
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 1
SBO
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
LEO
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
SAM
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
SAM
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
CIE
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 4
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |