Cienciano vs Unión Tarapoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
CIE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SBO
3 - 1
CIE
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CIE
1 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
CIE
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Tarapoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
AUN
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 0
TAR
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 3
LOS
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 3
SPO
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |