Cienciano vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
CIE
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 0
SPC
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 0
MEL
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
PAC
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
CIE
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
COM
4 - 0
HUA
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
VAL
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
GAL
4 - 1
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |