Cienciano vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
0 - 1
CIE
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
CNI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
0 - 0
CIE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 2
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
TOT
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 0
TOT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
ALI
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |