Cienciano vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
TOT
0 - 2
CIE
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
3 - 0
BOL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
CIE
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 2
CIE
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
EST
0 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
QRO
0 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |