Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
3 - 0
CIE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
4 - 0
CNI
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 0
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
AUR
5 - 2
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
GAL
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |