Cienciano vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 0
CIE
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
COB
0 - 0
CIE
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 1
AYA
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 2
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
31%
30%
40%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
ALI
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 5
AUR
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |