Cienciano vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
CIE
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
CIE
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 3
HUA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
CIE
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 2
SPO
63%
22%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
AUR
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
AUR
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
AUR
4 - 1
CNI
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |