Cienciano vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 2
AYA
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 2
HUA
38%
25%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 0
COM
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 0
HUA
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GAL
2 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 0
GAL
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |