Cienciano vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 2
HUA
38%
25%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 0
COM
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
CIE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
3 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 1
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AYA
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |