Cienciano vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 2
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CIE
4 - 0
ALI
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CIE
3 - 0
SBO
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
AYA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AYA
0 - 2
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SBO
3 - 1
AYA
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |