Cienciano vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 0
SPC
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 1
CIE
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
CIE
0 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
CIE
4 - 0
MEL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
5 - 3
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 2
PUM
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
JAG
3 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |