Cienciano vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
CIE
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
SPC
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 1
CIE
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 1
CIE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
HUA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MEL
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |