Cienciano vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 3
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
3 - 0
CIE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
4 - 0
CNI
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 0
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 3
SBO
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 4
UNI
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 1
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |