Cienciano vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
UTC
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
4 - 2
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
HUA
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
LOS
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LOS
3 - 2
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 3
LOS
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |