Cienciano vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 1
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
CIE
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 2
HUA
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 4
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
UTC
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 3
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
LOS
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |