Cienciano vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 2
CIE
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 3
CIE
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 3
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SPC
2 - 2
CIE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
CIE
5 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BOC
2 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GOD
0 - 1
BOC
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
TOL
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BOC
5 - 1
GLP
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |