Cienciano vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 1
SBO
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
BOC
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
BOL
7 - 1
OPE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 2
BLO
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 0
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |