Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-5
Cienciano vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
CIE
2 - 0
OPE
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
CIE
2 - 1
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
OPE
3 - 1
CIE
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ATL
0 - 1
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2002 |
AME
3 - 2
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
EST
2 - 2
AME
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
AME
2 - 2
SAN
56%
21%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |