Cienciano vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 0
AGP
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 2
CIE
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 1
BIN
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CIE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 1
CAN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 2
AUN
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 0
AUN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AUN
3 - 2
FCS
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BIN
2 - 1
AUN
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |