Cienciano vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 0
CIE
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
3 - 1
CIE
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 0
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 1
LEO
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 2
ALI
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AYA
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |