Cienciano vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 3
CIE
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
CIE
37%
25%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
CIE
4 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CAU
4 - 1
CIE
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SBO
1 - 1
CIE
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 2
UNI
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
SBO
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
CDE
0 - 2
ALI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
WAN
3 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |