Cienciano vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 2
CIE
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
CIE
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 0
AUN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 0
AGP
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
AUR
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SCJ
2 - 4
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
4 - 2
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
COM
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |