Cienciano vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
CIE
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CIE
3 - 0
SRP
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LOS
2 - 1
CIE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
2 - 1
CIE
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CIE
3 - 1
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LOS
1 - 2
ALI
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
COM
3 - 1
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
SRP
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |