Cienciano vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 3
CIE
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 2
CIE
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 0
CIE
73%
18%
8%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 1
SBO
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
HUA
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 1
ALI
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SBO
2 - 2
ALI
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |