Cienciano vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 2
SLO
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 0
CIE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 0
CIE
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 2
CIE
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
FLU
4 - 1
ALI
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
FLU
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ANZ
1 - 2
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |