Cienciano vs Alfredo Salinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 4
CIE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CIE
1 - 0
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIE
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CIE
0 - 4
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
CIE
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 3
SRP
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 1
ALF
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 0
LOS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 1
WIL
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |