C.C. San Sebastián vs Español Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.C. San Sebastián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1909 |
CSS
2 - 0
GLV
94%
4%
1%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1909 |
CSS
4 - 2
ATH
5%
16%
79%
|
17 | 82 | 65 | +1 |
Matches
Español Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1909 |
ESM
3 - 2
FCB
4%
15%
80%
|
12 | 83 | 71 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1904 |
ESM
1 - 0
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1904 |
ESM
5 - 5
MAM
61%
22%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |