Calidad Porteña vs Maristas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
73.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calidad Porteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JUP
2 - 2
CCP
37%
25%
38%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
CCP
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
CLF
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Maristas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 2
CDH
76%
16%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CDH
3 - 1
CSM
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
CCP
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
CSM
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
5 - 0
CSM
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |